BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Davenport Assumption

Class: 3A Class Rank: 9 Conference: (8-8) Overall: (13-10) Overall Strength =  106.98

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2016 Home    W   116.41  79   63   3A   15 ( 7-16) Dubuque Wahlert         9.18      6.82                      
  2 12/03/2016 Home    L    94.33  48   70   4A    2 (21- 5) WDM Valley            -12.90     -9.10                      
  3 12/09/2016 Away    L * 102.54  57   69   4A   13 (16- 7) Eldridge North Scott    4.69     -7.31                      
  4 12/13/2016 Home    W * 104.79  75   64   4A   36 ( 5-18) Davenport West         -2.44     13.44                      
  5 12/16/2016 Away    L * 106.39  54   59   4A   19 (17- 5) Davenport Central       0.84     -4.16                      
  6 12/17/2016 Away    W   118.24  64   46   ZZ   42 ( 1- 1) Geneseo IL            -11.01      6.99  Gensis IA-ILL SO    
  7 12/20/2016 Home    W * 102.24  72   42   4A   47 ( 0-22) Burlington             -4.99 *   34.99                      
  8 01/03/2017 Home    W   111.19  62   60   3A    4 (16-11) Cedar Rapids Xavier     3.96     -1.96                      
  9 01/06/2017 Home    W *  99.86  59   57   4A   32 ( 7-15) Davenport North        -7.37      9.37                      
 10 01/10/2017 Home    L * 107.47  51   58   4A    4 (18- 6) Bettendorf              0.24     -7.24                      
 11 01/13/2017 Away    W * 122.89  61   39   4A   33 ( 9-13) Clinton               -15.66      6.34                      
 12 01/17/2017 Away    W   106.24  67   63   ZZ   37 ( 1- 1) Rock Island Alleman     0.99      4.99                      
 13 01/20/2017 Home    L * 104.49  69   72   4A   21 (15- 7) Muscatine              -2.74     -0.26                      
 14 01/24/2017 Away    L * 103.87  47   53   4A   20 (11-12) Pleasant Valley         3.36     -2.64                      
 15 01/27/2017 Home    L *  99.62  57   69   4A   13 (16- 7) Eldridge North Scott   -7.61     -4.39                      
      Averages             107.23  62.6 56.4

Best game:  122.89 = 22 point win over Clinton
Worst game:  93.87 = 8 point loss to Dubuque Wahlert
Team stdev:   7.78